Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Pombal vs Marinhense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 Estádio Municipal de Pombal, Pombal
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kuca
(Penalty)
28' Event
Bessa D.
47' Event
Omrani R.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 game between SC Pombal and Marinhense finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marinhense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
SC Pombal
15%
Draws
12%
Marinhense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Pombal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • SC Pombal's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Marinhense have produced (1.06).
  • Win probability leans SC Pombal's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
SC Pombal Clean Sheet 68%
Marinhense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Pombal Marinhense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Pombal vs Marinhense
1:3
Jan 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Marinhense vs SC Pombal
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Pombal Compare

Top Goalscorer Bessa D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Marinhense Compare

Top Goalscorer Omrani R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dede
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Pombal 86 / 100
Marinhense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Pombal Marinhense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Pombal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Pombal's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Marinhense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Marinhense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marinhense
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Pombal

(Home)
13 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 3
Marinhense
06 Apr
O Elvas CAD
4 : 0
SC Pombal
29 Mar
GD Peniche
0 : 3
SC Pombal
16 Mar
SC Pombal
0 : 3
Fatima
09 Mar
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 3
SC Pombal
Page 1 of 6

Marinhense

(Away)
18 Apr
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 0
Marinhense
12 Apr
Marinhense
4 : 5
Lajense
04 Apr
Marinhense
1 : 1
SC Lusitania
29 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Marinhense
22 Mar
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 0
Marinhense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Elvas CAD 26 20 5 1 41:10 65
2 Fatima 26 14 7 5 30:12 49
3 Arronches Benfica 26 13 9 4 27:17 48
4 GD Peniche 26 10 9 7 31:23 39
5 Os Marialvas 26 9 10 7 30:28 37
6 Mortagua FC 26 8 13 5 23:21 37
7 Marinhense 26 9 9 8 24:21 36
8 Alverca B 26 9 8 9 28:25 35
9 SB Castelo Branco 26 8 10 8 23:21 34
10 SC Pombal 26 8 8 10 29:34 32
11 Uniao de Coimbra 26 6 7 13 26:44 25
12 Sertanense 26 4 9 13 23:33 21
13 Alcains 26 4 6 16 17:36 18
14 Pero Pinheiro 26 2 6 18 12:39 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)