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SC Praiense vs Esperanca de Lagos

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esperanca de Lagos in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esperanca de Lagos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
SC Praiense
20%
Draws
20%
Esperanca de Lagos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC Praiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • SC Praiense have won more games recently than Esperanca de Lagos.
  • Win probability leans SC Praiense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
SC Praiense Clean Sheet 68%
Esperanca de Lagos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Praiense Esperanca de Lagos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
SC Praiense vs Esperanca de Lagos
0:1
Oct 9, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Esperanca de Lagos vs SC Praiense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Praiense 95 / 100
Esperanca de Lagos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Praiense Esperanca de Lagos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Praiense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Praiense scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Esperanca de Lagos let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Esperanca de Lagos registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

SC Praiense VS Esperanca de Lagos
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Praiense

(Home)
19 Apr
SC Praiense
0 : 1
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
08 Apr
Oriental Dragon
2 : 1
SC Praiense
02 Apr
SC Praiense
5 : 0
Olhanense
25 Mar
SC Praiense
0 : 1
CD Rabo Peixe
19 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
1 : 2
SC Praiense
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Esperanca de Lagos

(Away)
08 Sept
Louletano
3 : 0
Esperanca de Lagos
16 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 1
Olhanense
08 Apr
Fabril do Barreiro
3 : 0
Esperanca de Lagos
02 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
19 Mar
SC Angrense
1 : 1
Esperanca de Lagos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico CP 26 15 7 4 43:22 52
2 Lusitano GC 26 15 6 5 35:22 51
3 Juv. Evora 26 13 7 6 37:16 46
4 CD Rabo Peixe 26 13 6 7 33:19 45
5 Imortal 26 9 12 5 31:22 39
6 Fabril do Barreiro 26 11 6 9 31:26 39
7 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 10 9 7 37:33 39
8 Serpa 26 10 6 10 44:36 36
9 Oriental Dragon 26 10 6 10 35:36 36
10 SC Praiense 26 9 7 10 31:32 34
11 Esperanca de Lagos 26 7 10 9 28:38 31
12 SC Angrense 26 4 5 17 17:46 17
13 Olhanense 26 5 2 19 18:50 17
14 Ferreiras 26 3 7 16 17:39 16
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)