Sport Picks
SC Sagamihara vs Nagano Parceiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara 
Match Events
4'
4'
Kondo T.
Assist: Nojima K.
48'
48'
Tanahashi A.
Assist: Okita S.
60'
60'
Sub
Nojima K. In: Yamanaka R.
Out: Nojima K.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between SC Sagamihara and Nagano Parceiro finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC Sagamihara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- SC Sagamihara carry the better recent record into this one.
- SC Sagamihara are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
SC Sagamihara Clean Sheet 19%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SC Sagamihara | Nagano Parceiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.96 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Nagano Parceiro
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Nagano Parceiro
2:1
May 3, 2025 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs SC Sagamihara
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Nagano Parceiro
1:1
Mar 9, 2024 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs SC Sagamihara
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SC Sagamihara Compare
Top Goalscorer Tanahashi A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Nagano Parceiro Compare
Top Goalscorer Kondo T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SC Sagamihara 42 / 100
Nagano Parceiro 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SC Sagamihara Nagano Parceiro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: SC Sagamihara scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Nagano Parceiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: SC Sagamihara stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
SC Sagamihara VS Nagano Parceiro
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
SC Sagamihara
(Home) 09 Oct
SC Sagamihara
3 : 2 Kamatamare Sanuki
03 Oct
SC Sagamihara
1 : 0 FC Osaka
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2 SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3 SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
SC Sagamihara
3 : 2 Kamatamare Sanuki
03 Oct
SC Sagamihara
1 : 0 FC Osaka
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
02 Sept
SC Sagamihara
0 : 3 Iwata
Page 1 of 4
Nagano Parceiro
(Away) 10 Oct
Kochi United
1 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
03 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Nara Club
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
20 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0 Gifu
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1 Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Kochi United
1 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
26 Aug
FC Tokyo
6 : 0 Nagano Parceiro
22 Aug
Kumamoto
0 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 20 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 5 | SC Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 18 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:10 | 16 |
| 8 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Kumamoto | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 11 | Nagano Parceiro | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:19 | 13 |
| 13 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 17 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:23 | 5 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
