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SC Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Sagamihara host Tochigi SC in the J3 League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Tochigi SC have shipped 1.59 goals a game lately, while SC Sagamihara have conceded 1.74 and scored 1.85. Past meetings favor SC Sagamihara slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.06) point toward SC Sagamihara. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
SC Sagamihara
30%
Draws
12%
Tochigi SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Sagamihara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Sagamihara come out ahead of Tochigi SC on wins alone.
  • SC Sagamihara are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and SC Sagamihara have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
SC Sagamihara Clean Sheet 20%
Tochigi SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Sagamihara Tochigi SC
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.85 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tochigi SC vs SC Sagamihara
0:2
Mar 8, 2026 J2/J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC
4:0
Jul 20, 2025 J3 League
Tochigi SC vs SC Sagamihara
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC
1:0
Aug 9, 2021 J2 League
SC Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Sagamihara 58 / 100
Tochigi SC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Sagamihara Tochigi SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Sagamihara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Sagamihara's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Tochigi SC has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: SC Sagamihara remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Sagamihara VS Tochigi SC
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Sagamihara

(Home)
09 Oct
SC Sagamihara
3 : 2
Kamatamare Sanuki
03 Oct
SC Sagamihara
1 : 0
FC Osaka
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2
SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3
SC Sagamihara
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Tochigi SC

(Away)
11 Oct
Tochigi SC
0 : 1
Renofa Yamaguchi
04 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 0
Tochigi SC
26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1
Tochigi SC
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1
Tochigi SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ehime 10 7 2 1 24:10 23
2 Kagoshima United 10 7 2 1 19:11 23
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 10 6 2 2 14:7 20
4 Nara Club 10 6 2 2 21:16 20
5 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
6 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
7 Gifu 10 5 1 4 20:10 16
8 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
9 Kumamoto 10 3 5 2 7:6 14
10 Reilac Shiga 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
11 Nagano Parceiro 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
12 Gainare Tottori 10 4 1 5 12:19 13
13 Matsumoto Yamaga 10 2 5 3 9:11 11
14 Ryukyu 10 3 2 5 11:14 11
15 Tochigi SC 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
16 Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
17 Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 3 0 7 10:19 9
18 Fukushima United 10 2 2 6 20:25 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 10 1 2 7 4:23 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)