Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Sagamihara vs Vanraure

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
SC Sagamihara Logo

SC Sagamihara

Sat, May 16, 2026
1 - 2
05:00 AM
Vanraure Logo

Vanraure

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Tanahashi A.
Assist: Watahiki K.
32'
Shimakawa T.
37'
Okita S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vanraure in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vanraure.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
SC Sagamihara
20%
Draws
23%
Vanraure
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC Sagamihara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Sagamihara have won more games recently than Vanraure.
  • SC Sagamihara are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
SC Sagamihara Clean Sheet 68%
Vanraure Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Sagamihara Vanraure
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 2 5
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.79 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 J2/J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Vanraure
1:2
Mar 29, 2026 J2/J3 League
Vanraure vs SC Sagamihara
2:3
Oct 4, 2025 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Vanraure
0:1
Mar 9, 2025 J3 League
Vanraure vs SC Sagamihara
1:2
Aug 24, 2024 J3 League
Vanraure vs SC Sagamihara
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Sagamihara Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanahashi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vanraure Compare

Top Goalscorer Takao R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Sagamihara 95 / 100
Vanraure 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Sagamihara Vanraure

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Sagamihara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SC Sagamihara scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Vanraure has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: SC Sagamihara remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Sagamihara VS Vanraure
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Sagamihara

(Home)
15 Aug
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 4
SC Sagamihara
08 Aug
SC Sagamihara
0 : 0
Kumamoto
06 Jun
SC Sagamihara
3 : 0
Kumamoto
30 May
SC Sagamihara
4 : 3
Fujieda MYFC
23 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
7 : 2
SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 6

Vanraure

(Away)
15 Aug
Tochigi City
5 : 0
Vanraure
08 Aug
Vanraure
2 : 0
Toyama
16 Jul
Kawasaki Frontale
0 : 0
Vanraure
07 Jun
Vanraure
1 : 2
Imabari
01 Jun
Vanraure
0 : 1
Fukushima United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)