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SC Salgueiros vs Sanjoanense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
57' Event
Evora M.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B game between SC Salgueiros and Sanjoanense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
SC Salgueiros
30%
Draws
33%
Sanjoanense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Salgueiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • SC Salgueiros carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
SC Salgueiros Clean Sheet 26%
Sanjoanense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Salgueiros Sanjoanense
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 14 6
Draws 12 8
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.12 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Sanjoanense
1:1
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Sanjoanense vs SC Salgueiros
1:1
Aug 1, 2018 Club Friendly
Sanjoanense vs SC Salgueiros
1:1
Mar 18, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sanjoanense vs SC Salgueiros
0:0
Nov 11, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Sanjoanense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Salgueiros Compare

Top Goalscorer Evora M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Sanjoanense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Salgueiros 38 / 100
Sanjoanense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Salgueiros Sanjoanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanjoanense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sanjoanense conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

SC Salgueiros went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

SC Salgueiros's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

SC Salgueiros VS Sanjoanense
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Salgueiros

(Home)
19 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Feirense
13 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Cinfaes
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
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Sanjoanense

(Away)
20 Sept
Anca
1 : 4
Sanjoanense
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0
Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Sanjoanense
3 : 1
FC Alpendorada
30 Aug
Sanjoanense
3 : 0
Pacos de Brandao
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ovarense 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
2 Machico 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Camacha 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
4 Castro Daire 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
5 Florgrade 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
6 SC Salgueiros 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
7 Cinfaes 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
8 Sanjoanense 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
9 Uniao Lamas 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 Beira Mar 4 0 3 1 4:6 3
11 FC Alpendorada 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
12 Estrela Calheta 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
13 Guarda FC 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
14 Sousense 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)