Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Salgueiros vs Sousense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018 Estadio Prof. Dr. Jose Vieira de Carvalho, Maia
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2017/2018 game between SC Salgueiros and Sousense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Salgueiros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
SC Salgueiros
15%
Draws
39%
Sousense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Salgueiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • SC Salgueiros carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans SC Salgueiros's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
SC Salgueiros Clean Sheet 20%
Sousense Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Salgueiros Sousense
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 11 3
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.13 0.68
Goals Conceded 0.84 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.54 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Sousense
2:1
Dec 17, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sousense vs SC Salgueiros
0:3
Nov 27, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Sousense vs SC Salgueiros
1:0
Aug 27, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Salgueiros vs Sousense
3:2
May 15, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Sousense vs SC Salgueiros
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Salgueiros 36 / 100
Sousense 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Salgueiros Sousense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sousense let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: SC Salgueiros scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: SC Salgueiros stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Salgueiros VS Sousense
0.75 Goals Scored 0.67
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.33
63% Over 1.5 33%
0% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Salgueiros

(Home)
01 Aug
Trofense
0 : 1
SC Salgueiros
18 Apr
Uniao Lamas
0 : 0
SC Salgueiros
12 Apr
SC Salgueiros
0 : 2
FC Alpendorada
04 Apr
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Salgueiros
22 Mar
SC Salgueiros
2 : 0
Florgrade
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Sousense

(Away)
25 Jul
Sousense
2 : 1
Uniao Lamas
22 Apr
Sousense
2 : 1
Gondomar
15 Apr
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
08 Apr
Sousense
0 : 2
Amarante FC
31 Mar
Sanjoanense
3 : 1
Sousense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Felgueiras 30 16 8 6 53:28 56
2 SC Espinho 30 15 9 6 50:30 54
3 Gondomar 30 13 10 7 43:29 49
4 FC Cesarense 30 11 15 4 44:26 48
5 Cinfaes 30 13 6 11 39:40 45
6 Amarante FC 30 12 9 9 42:33 45
7 Sanjoanense 30 10 12 8 35:30 42
8 Pedras Rubras 30 11 9 10 36:32 42
9 Trofense 30 12 6 12 34:35 42
10 Coimbroes 30 11 8 11 40:46 41
11 Canelas 2010 30 11 8 11 45:44 41
12 SC Salgueiros 30 7 14 9 30:34 35
13 Camacha 30 10 4 16 33:47 34
14 Alianca de Gandra 30 8 5 17 24:47 29
15 Freamunde 30 6 10 14 26:31 28
16 Sousense 30 6 3 21 19:61 21
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)