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SC Sao Paulo vs Farroupilha

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Roberto J.
61' Event
Felipe Pelles
87'
Hassteneufel L.

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 3 2024 game between SC Sao Paulo and Farroupilha finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Farroupilha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
SC Sao Paulo
6%
Draws
4%
Farroupilha
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SC Sao Paulo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Farroupilha haven't matched SC Sao Paulo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives SC Sao Paulo a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gaucho 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
SC Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 68%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Sao Paulo Farroupilha
Matches Played 27 12
Wins 10 3
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2024 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs Farroupilha
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Gaucho 3
Farroupilha vs SC Sao Paulo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Sao Paulo Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Pelles
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Farroupilha Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberto J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcos Avila J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Sao Paulo 95 / 100
Farroupilha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Sao Paulo Farroupilha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SC Sao Paulo scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Farroupilha conceded in 75% of 12 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

SC Sao Paulo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Sao Paulo VS Farroupilha
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense632111:811
2Real SC62317:59
3EC Guarani62316:49
4Apafut60243:102
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Riograndense63218:411
2SC Sao Paulo62138:97
3SC Rio Grande61145:104
4Farroupilha63216:43