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SC Sao Paulo vs SC Rio Grande

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
da Silva R.
35' Event
Carlinhos
54' Event
Meirelles T.

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 3 2024 game between SC Sao Paulo and SC Rio Grande finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Sao Paulo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
SC Sao Paulo
6%
Draws
4%
SC Rio Grande
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SC Sao Paulo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Sao Paulo come out ahead of SC Rio Grande on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on SC Sao Paulo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • SC Sao Paulo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
SC Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 68%
SC Rio Grande Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Sao Paulo SC Rio Grande
Matches Played 27 16
Wins 10 4
Draws 5 1
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs SC Rio Grande
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Gaucho 3
SC Rio Grande vs SC Sao Paulo
0:1
Oct 26, 2024 Gaucho 3
SC Rio Grande vs SC Sao Paulo
1:2
Sep 22, 2024 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs SC Rio Grande
3:0
Aug 2, 2021 Club Friendly
SC Sao Paulo vs SC Rio Grande
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Sao Paulo Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carlinhos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

SC Rio Grande Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Sao Paulo 95 / 100
SC Rio Grande 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Sao Paulo SC Rio Grande

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Rio Grande has conceded goals in 94% of their last 16 outings.

SC Sao Paulo scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

SC Sao Paulo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SC Sao Paulo VS SC Rio Grande
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense632111:811
2Real SC62317:59
3EC Guarani62316:49
4Apafut60243:102
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Riograndense63218:411
2SC Sao Paulo62138:97
3SC Rio Grande61145:104
4Farroupilha63216:43