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SC Vila Real vs Berco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Vila Real in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Vila Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
SC Vila Real
30%
Draws
47%
Berco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Berco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Vila Real have won more games recently than Berco.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Berco here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
SC Vila Real Clean Sheet 25%
Berco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Vila Real Berco
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 12 5
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Berco vs SC Vila Real
1:0
Mar 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Vila Real vs Berco
3:1
Jan 8, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Berco vs SC Vila Real
2:1
Sep 19, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Vila Real vs Berco
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Vila Real 37 / 100
Berco 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Vila Real Berco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: SC Vila Real scored in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Berco lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Vila Real VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Vila Real

(Home)
18 Apr
Leca
3 : 0
SC Vila Real
12 Apr
SC Vila Real
1 : 1
Vila Mea
04 Apr
SC Vila Real
2 : 2
Rebordosa
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
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Berco

(Away)
08 May
Berco
1 : 3
Amarante FC
01 May
Tirsense
3 : 2
Berco
24 Apr
Berco
1 : 0
SC Vila Real
10 Apr
Amarante FC
2 : 1
Berco
03 Apr
Berco
2 : 2
Tirsense
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