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SC Vila Real vs CD Gouveia Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Aires P.
12' Event
Leite F.
57' Event
Armando

AI Match Summary

SC Vila Real in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Vila Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
SC Vila Real
20%
Draws
48%
CD Gouveia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Gouveia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SC Vila Real lately — more wins on the board than CD Gouveia.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
SC Vila Real Clean Sheet 20%
CD Gouveia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Vila Real CD Gouveia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 12 4
Losses 11 24
Goals Scored 0.97 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Vila Real vs CD Gouveia
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
CD Gouveia vs SC Vila Real
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Vila Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Leite F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Armando
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

CD Gouveia Compare

Top Goalscorer Aires P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Vila Real 32 / 100
CD Gouveia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Vila Real CD Gouveia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Gouveia conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

SC Vila Real's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CD Gouveia's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Vila Real VS CD Gouveia
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Vila Real

(Home)
18 Apr
Leca
3 : 0
SC Vila Real
12 Apr
SC Vila Real
1 : 1
Vila Mea
04 Apr
SC Vila Real
2 : 2
Rebordosa
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
Page 1 of 6

CD Gouveia

(Away)
18 Apr
CD Gouveia
1 : 2
Beira Mar
12 Apr
Anadia
2 : 1
CD Gouveia
04 Apr
CD Gouveia
3 : 2
Vila Mea
22 Mar
CD Gouveia
0 : 2
Uniao Lamas
15 Mar
FC Alpendorada
1 : 0
CD Gouveia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)