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SC Vila Real vs CD Portosantense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Barandas M.
90' Event
Liberal A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
SC Vila Real
35%
Draws
52%
CD Portosantense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Portosantense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Portosantense have won more games recently than SC Vila Real.
  • Model gives CD Portosantense a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
SC Vila Real Clean Sheet 25%
CD Portosantense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Vila Real CD Portosantense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 14 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CD Portosantense vs SC Vila Real
1:1
Nov 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Vila Real vs CD Portosantense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Vila Real Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

CD Portosantense Compare

Top Goalscorer Barandas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Vila Real 17 / 100
CD Portosantense 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Vila Real CD Portosantense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Portosantense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Vila Real's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

CD Portosantense let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

SC Vila Real went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Vila Real VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Vila Real

(Home)
18 Apr
Leca
3 : 0
SC Vila Real
12 Apr
SC Vila Real
1 : 1
Vila Mea
04 Apr
SC Vila Real
2 : 2
Rebordosa
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
Page 1 of 7

CD Portosantense

(Away)
07 Apr
SC Mirandela
0 : 1
CD Portosantense
24 Mar
CD Portosantense
1 : 2
Dumiense
17 Mar
Os Sandinenses
0 : 1
CD Portosantense
09 Mar
CD Portosantense
1 : 1
SC Vila Real
03 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 0
CD Portosantense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 26 12 9 5 35:27 45
2 Pevidem 26 11 11 4 31:22 44
3 Tirsense 26 12 7 7 37:24 43
4 Camacha 26 11 5 10 36:30 38
5 Brito 26 10 8 8 26:26 38
6 Dumiense 26 9 8 9 30:32 35
7 Os Sandinenses 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 8 11 7 24:22 35
9 Maritimo B 26 10 5 11 34:26 35
10 CDC Montalegre 26 8 10 8 25:31 34
11 Vilar de Perdizes 26 7 10 9 29:32 31
12 CD Portosantense 26 6 9 11 22:27 27
13 SC Mirandela 26 6 6 14 25:37 24
14 Ribeirao 26 5 8 13 19:37 20
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)