Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Vila Real vs Rebordosa

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Djadjo D.
36' Event
Teixeira G.
51' Event
Djadjo D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
SC Vila Real
30%
Draws
47%
Rebordosa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rebordosa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Rebordosa have won more games recently than SC Vila Real.
  • Rebordosa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
SC Vila Real Clean Sheet 14%
Rebordosa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Vila Real Rebordosa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 12 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Vila Real vs Rebordosa
2:2
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Rebordosa vs SC Vila Real
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Rebordosa vs SC Vila Real
5:0
Dec 8, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Vila Real vs Rebordosa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Vila Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Teixeira G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sousa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rebordosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Djadjo D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Vila Real 23 / 100
Rebordosa 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Vila Real Rebordosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rebordosa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Vila Real found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Rebordosa has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Rebordosa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Vila Real VS Rebordosa
1 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Vila Real

(Home)
18 Apr
Leca
3 : 0
SC Vila Real
12 Apr
SC Vila Real
1 : 1
Vila Mea
04 Apr
SC Vila Real
2 : 2
Rebordosa
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
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Rebordosa

(Away)
27 Sept
AD Limianos
1 : 1
Rebordosa
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
30 Aug
Rebordosa
2 : 3
FC Alpendorada
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)