The Serie D - Group A game between Scafatese and Barletta finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
Scafatese
11%
Draws
9%
Barletta
Draw rate projection: 11%Favored: Scafatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
Look at the last few games and Scafatese come out ahead of Barletta on wins alone.
80% — that's where the model lands on Scafatese taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals85%
Over 1.5 Goals75%
Over 2.5 Goals25%
Over 3.5 Goals22%
Over 4.5 Goals10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)27.200000000000003%
Scafatese Clean Sheet68%
Barletta Clean Sheet10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Scafatese
Barletta
Matches Played
30
30
Wins
23
19
Draws
5
8
Losses
2
3
Goals Scored
2.25
1.88
Goals Conceded
1
0.88
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.00
0.88
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026Serie D - Group A
ScafatesevsBarletta
1:1
Feb 21, 2010Serie C2/C
BarlettavsScafatese
1:0
Oct 4, 2009Serie C2/C
ScafatesevsBarletta
1:0
Mar 15, 2009Serie C2/C
ScafatesevsBarletta
0:0
Oct 26, 2008Serie C2/C
BarlettavsScafatese
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Scafatese Compare
Avg xG / game1.73
Avg xA / game1.13
Barletta Compare
Top GoalscorerGuadalupi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game1.71
Avg xA / game1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Scafatese86 / 100
Barletta10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Scafatese Barletta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickSCA Win (1)
Secondary PickUnder 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score1:0
BTTS OutcomeNo (NG)
Over/Under PickUnder 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Scafatese scored in 100% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Scafatese remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Barletta let in goals in 37% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.