Sport Picks
Scafatese vs Desenzano Calvina
Italy
Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Scafatese advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Desenzano Calvina carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Desenzano Calvina arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Scafatese, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Scafatese | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 19 | 20 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Scafatese Compare
Desenzano Calvina Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Scafatese scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Recent resilience: Scafatese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Desenzano Calvina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 32 matches.
