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Scafatese vs Locri 1909

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Ficara A.
(Penalty)
36' Event
Molinaro S.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Santarpia G.

AI Match Summary

Scafatese in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Scafatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Scafatese
35%
Draws
16%
Locri 1909
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Scafatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Scafatese lately — more wins on the board than Locri 1909.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Scafatese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Scafatese Clean Sheet 68%
Locri 1909 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scafatese Locri 1909
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 24 5
Draws 8 7
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 2.22 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Scafatese vs Locri 1909
3:1
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Scafatese
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scafatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Santarpia G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gagliardi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Locri 1909 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scafatese 50 / 100
Locri 1909 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scafatese Locri 1909

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scafatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scafatese's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Defensive concern: Locri 1909 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Scafatese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Scafatese VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Scafatese

(Home)
19 Sept
Cosenza
1 : 1
Scafatese
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0
Monopoli
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2
Scafatese
06 Sept
Casertana
2 : 2
Scafatese
01 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 1
Scafatese
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Locri 1909

(Away)
04 May
Locri 1909
1 : 1
AS Acireale
27 Apr
Enna
1 : 1
Locri 1909
17 Apr
Locri 1909
2 : 3
Reggina
13 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Locri 1909
06 Apr
Locri 1909
1 : 2
S. Agata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)