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Stadium Background

Scafatese vs Monastir

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Volpicelli E.
46' Event
Baldan M.
65' Event
Volpicelli E.

AI Match Summary

Scafatese in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Scafatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Scafatese
30%
Draws
47%
Monastir
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monastir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Scafatese have won more games recently than Monastir.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Scafatese Clean Sheet 15%
Monastir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scafatese Monastir
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.16 1.76
Goals Conceded 1 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Scafatese vs Monastir
4:2
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Monastir vs Scafatese
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scafatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Volpicelli E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Baldan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Monastir Compare

Top Goalscorer Aloia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinna S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scafatese 31 / 100
Monastir 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scafatese Monastir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monastir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scafatese's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Monastir conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Scafatese stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Scafatese VS Monastir
2.25 Goals Scored 1.67
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Scafatese

(Home)
19 Sept
Cosenza
1 : 1
Scafatese
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0
Monopoli
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2
Scafatese
06 Sept
Casertana
2 : 2
Scafatese
01 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 1
Scafatese
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Monastir

(Away)
20 Sept
Monastir
2 : 1
Aranova
16 Sept
Anzio Calcio 1924
3 : 1
Monastir
12 Sept
Monastir
5 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
06 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
1 : 2
Monastir
16 May
Trastevere Calcio
0 : 1
Monastir
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)