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Scafatese vs S. Agata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Markic T.
28' Event
Palmieri C.
35' Event
Pussetto A.

AI Match Summary

Scafatese in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Scafatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Scafatese
35%
Draws
23%
S. Agata
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Scafatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Scafatese lately — more wins on the board than S. Agata.
  • Win probability leans Scafatese's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Scafatese Clean Sheet 20%
S. Agata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scafatese S. Agata
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.13 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Scafatese
1:3
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Scafatese vs S. Agata
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scafatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Markic T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palmieri C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

S. Agata Compare

Top Goalscorer Pussetto A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scafatese 49 / 100
S. Agata 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scafatese S. Agata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scafatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scafatese found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).

S. Agata has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Scafatese remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Scafatese VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Scafatese

(Home)
27 Sept
Scafatese
2 : 0
Altamura
19 Sept
Cosenza
1 : 1
Scafatese
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0
Monopoli
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2
Scafatese
06 Sept
Casertana
2 : 2
Scafatese
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S. Agata

(Away)
11 May
AS Acireale
2 : 2
S. Agata
04 May
Castrumfavara
0 : 2
S. Agata
27 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 3
Scafatese
17 Apr
Sancataldese
2 : 1
S. Agata
13 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 1
Pompei
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)