Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Arrighini A.
15'
15'
Giordani G.
66'
66'
Likaxhiu M.
AI Match Summary
Follonica Gavorrano in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Follonica Gavorrano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Scandicci lately — more wins on the board than Follonica Gavorrano.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Scandicci Clean Sheet 20%
Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Scandicci | Follonica Gavorrano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 14 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:3
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Scandicci
1:0
Apr 14, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Follonica Gavorrano
2:0
Dec 4, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Scandicci
1:0
Feb 21, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Follonica Gavorrano
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Scandicci Compare
Top Goalscorer Arrighini A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Follonica Gavorrano Compare
Top Goalscorer Giordani G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Likaxhiu M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Scandicci 36 / 100
Follonica Gavorrano 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Scandicci Follonica Gavorrano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FLG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Follonica Gavorrano conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Scandicci's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Scandicci went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Scandicci VS Follonica Gavorrano
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Scandicci
(Home) 03 May
Poggibonsi
1 : 0 Scandicci
26 Apr
Scandicci
1 : 3 Follonica Gavorrano
19 Apr
Cannara
1 : 1 Scandicci
12 Apr
Orvietana
0 : 1 Scandicci
02 Apr
Scandicci
4 : 3 Tau
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Scandicci
1 : 3 Follonica Gavorrano
02 Apr
Scandicci
4 : 3 Tau
22 Mar
Scandicci
2 : 1 Camaiore Calcio
01 Mar
Scandicci
1 : 1 Montevarchi
15 Feb
Scandicci
1 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
Page 1 of 3
Follonica Gavorrano
(Away) 10 May
Follonica Gavorrano
3 : 2 Camaiore Calcio
03 May
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 2 Tau
26 Apr
Scandicci
1 : 3 Follonica Gavorrano
19 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
0 : 1 Orvietana
12 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Scandicci
1 : 3 Follonica Gavorrano
12 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
28 Mar
Grosseto
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
15 Mar
Foligno
2 : 0 Follonica Gavorrano
22 Feb
Ghiviborgo
6 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)