Sport Picks
Match Events
63'
63'
Valori M.
72'
72'
Francalanci L.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group E game between Scandicci and Montevarchi finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Montevarchi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Scandicci carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Scandicci a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Scandicci Clean Sheet 68%
Montevarchi Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Scandicci | Montevarchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 13 | 14 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 0.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Montevarchi
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Scandicci
0:0
Apr 1, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Montevarchi
0:3
Mar 3, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Scandicci
1:0
Sep 20, 2020 Club Friendly
Montevarchi vs Scandicci
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Scandicci Compare
Top Goalscorer Valori M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Montevarchi Compare
Top Goalscorer Francalanci L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Scandicci 46 / 100
Montevarchi 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Scandicci Montevarchi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Scandicci scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Montevarchi conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.
Recent resilience: Scandicci stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Scandicci VS Montevarchi
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Scandicci
(Home) 05 Aug
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 2 Scandicci
31 Jul
Siena
2 : 0 Scandicci
03 May
Poggibonsi
1 : 0 Scandicci
26 Apr
Scandicci
1 : 3 Follonica Gavorrano
19 Apr
Cannara
1 : 1 Scandicci
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Scandicci
1 : 3 Follonica Gavorrano
02 Apr
Scandicci
4 : 3 Tau
22 Mar
Scandicci
2 : 1 Camaiore Calcio
01 Mar
Scandicci
1 : 1 Montevarchi
15 Feb
Scandicci
1 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
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Montevarchi
(Away) 05 Aug
Pianese
2 : 0 Montevarchi
03 May
Prato
1 : 0 Montevarchi
26 Apr
Montevarchi
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
19 Apr
Siena
0 : 0 Montevarchi
12 Apr
Montevarchi
1 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
Page 1 of 7
05 Aug
Pianese
2 : 0 Montevarchi
03 May
Prato
1 : 0 Montevarchi
19 Apr
Siena
0 : 0 Montevarchi
02 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0 Montevarchi
22 Mar
Follonica Gavorrano
0 : 0 Montevarchi
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)
