Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Scandicci vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Arrighini A.
(Penalty)
22' Event
Valori M.
34' Event
Boganini L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between Scandicci and Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Scandicci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Scandicci
33%
Draws
27%
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Scandicci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Scandicci come out ahead of Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Scandicci taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Scandicci Clean Sheet 68%
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scandicci Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 1
Draws 14 14
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
5:0
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Scandicci
1:0
Jan 17, 2016 Serie D - Group E
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Scandicci
0:1
Sep 16, 2015 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1:2
Mar 8, 2014 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scandicci Compare

Top Goalscorer Valori M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Boganini L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scandicci 50 / 100
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scandicci Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Scandicci scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scandicci went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Scandicci VS Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosseto34226658:2572
2Tau34189753:3363
3Prato34205949:2963
4Siena34179857:3560
5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:2957
6Terranuova Traiana341491128:3051
7Foligno341491145:3751
8Scandicci341115839:3248
9Montevarchi341016828:3246
10Sporting Trestina3410121240:4242
11San Donato Tavarnelle349131230:3540
12Ghiviborgo3410101442:4440
13Orvietana349111433:3738
14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:4937
15Camaiore Calcio34981741:5435
16Poggibonsi347101729:4631
17Cannara34682024:5926
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro342161620:4622