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Scanzorosciate vs Real Calepina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Lugnan G.
59' Event
Valois F.
90' Event
Brero M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B game between Scanzorosciate and Real Calepina finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Calepina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Scanzorosciate
20%
Draws
38%
Real Calepina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Scanzorosciate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Scanzorosciate carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Scanzorosciate a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Scanzorosciate Clean Sheet 20%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scanzorosciate Real Calepina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 14 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Scanzorosciate
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Scanzorosciate vs Real Calepina
1:2
Mar 17, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Scanzorosciate
1:1
Oct 4, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Scanzorosciate vs Real Calepina
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scanzorosciate Compare

Top Goalscorer Valois F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Real Calepina Compare

Top Goalscorer Lugnan G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brero M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scanzorosciate 42 / 100
Real Calepina 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scanzorosciate Real Calepina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Real Calepina conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Scanzorosciate scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Scanzorosciate has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Scanzorosciate VS Real Calepina
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore Caratese341911458:2768
2USD Casatese341613549:2861
3Chievo341861052:4360
4AC Milan U23341681062:3756
5AC Leon341411944:3453
6Brusaporto341561341:3851
7Oltrepo341581138:3650
8Scanzorosciate341114941:3347
9Villa Valle341381343:4647
10Ciserano-Bergamo3411131033:3146
11Caldiero Terme341015950:4045
12Real Calepina341191442:4742
13Castellanzese3410111341:3941
14Breno349111439:5138
15Pavia349101536:4737
16Varesina347151238:4436
17Sondrio34871937:6431
18Vogherese34282421:80-17