Sport Picks
Scanzorosciate vs USD Casatese
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 
Match Events
4'
4'
Avinci G.
33'
33'
Avinci G.
55'
55'
Carannante G.
AI Match Summary
USD Casatese in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored USD Casatese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: USD Casatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to USD Casatese lately — more wins on the board than Scanzorosciate.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and USD Casatese have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Scanzorosciate Clean Sheet 19%
USD Casatese Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Scanzorosciate | USD Casatese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Scanzorosciate vs USD Casatese
0:3
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Scanzorosciate
1:1
Apr 10, 2021 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Scanzorosciate
4:3
Dec 20, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Scanzorosciate vs USD Casatese
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Scanzorosciate Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
USD Casatese Compare
Top Goalscorer Avinci G.
2 Goals Assists Leader Carannante G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Scanzorosciate 36 / 100
USD Casatese 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Scanzorosciate USD Casatese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick USD Casatese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.25 goals.
Scanzorosciate scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Scanzorosciate went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
USD Casatese let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Scanzorosciate VS USD Casatese
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Scanzorosciate
(Home) 27 Sept
Scanzorosciate
1 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0 Scanzorosciate
16 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
2 : 1 Scanzorosciate
12 Sept
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0 Real Calepina
06 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 3 Scanzorosciate
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Scanzorosciate
1 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
12 Sept
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0 Real Calepina
26 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 3 USD Casatese
19 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0 AC Leon
02 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 1 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 3
USD Casatese
(Away) 27 Sept
USD Casatese
4 : 2 Varesina
20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3 USD Casatese
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
12 Sept
Solbiatese
0 : 0 USD Casatese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3 USD Casatese
12 Sept
Solbiatese
0 : 0 USD Casatese
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1 USD Casatese
26 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 3 USD Casatese
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4 USD Casatese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
