Sport Picks
Scarborough Athletic vs Spennymoor
England
National League North 2025/2026 Mounting Systems Stadium, Bridlington 
Match Events
71'
71'
Walker S.
AI Match Summary
The National League North 2025/2026 game between Scarborough Athletic and Spennymoor finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Scarborough Athletic.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spennymoor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Spennymoor come out ahead of Scarborough Athletic on wins alone.
- 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Scarborough Athletic Clean Sheet 20%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Scarborough Athletic | Spennymoor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Spennymoor
1:0
Dec 30, 2025 National League North
Spennymoor vs Scarborough Athletic
1:1
Apr 18, 2025 National League North
Spennymoor vs Scarborough Athletic
1:1
Jan 1, 2025 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Spennymoor
1:1
Apr 6, 2024 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Spennymoor
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Scarborough Athletic Compare
Top Goalscorer Walker S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Spennymoor Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Scarborough Athletic 36 / 100
Spennymoor 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Scarborough Athletic Spennymoor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SPE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spennymoor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Scarborough Athletic found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Scarborough Athletic went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Scarborough Athletic VS Spennymoor
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Scarborough Athletic
(Home) 08 Aug
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 1 South Shields
01 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
28 Jul
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 0 Hull City U21
25 Jul
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 2 Barnsley
28 Apr
Buxton
4 : 2 Scarborough Athletic
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 1 South Shields
28 Jul
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 0 Hull City U21
25 Jul
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 2 Barnsley
18 Apr
Scarborough Athletic
2 : 1 Merthyr Town
06 Apr
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 0 Spennymoor
Page 1 of 3
Spennymoor
(Away) 08 Aug
Morecambe
1 : 1 Spennymoor
01 Aug
Spennymoor
2 : 1 Gateshead
25 Jul
Spennymoor
1 : 3 Halifax
18 Jul
Spennymoor
1 : 2 Hartlepool
25 Apr
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Marine
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Morecambe
1 : 1 Spennymoor
18 Apr
Macclesfield
0 : 2 Spennymoor
06 Apr
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 0 Spennymoor
28 Mar
King’s Lynn
0 : 1 Spennymoor
24 Mar
Hereford
1 : 2 Spennymoor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
