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SCD Durango vs Amurrio Club

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 game between SCD Durango and Amurrio Club finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SCD Durango.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
SCD Durango
44%
Draws
20%
Amurrio Club
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • SCD Durango carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • SCD Durango have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 23%
Amurrio Club Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SCD Durango Amurrio Club
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Amurrio Club
1:0
Oct 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amurrio Club vs SCD Durango
0:1
Mar 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amurrio Club vs SCD Durango
0:1
Oct 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Amurrio Club
2:0
Jan 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amurrio Club vs SCD Durango
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Durango 37 / 100
Amurrio Club 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SCD Durango Amurrio Club

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SCD Durango found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Amurrio Club's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: SCD Durango remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Amurrio Club registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SCD Durango VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alaves B382113472:3176
2Beasain381913665:3670
3Portugalete381913660:3370
4Barakaldo38209964:4669
5Basconia381811945:3265
6CD Vitoria3816111155:4959
7San Ignacio381771457:4858
8SCD Durango381318742:2957
9Leioa3815111255:3856
10Anaitasuna FT3814101448:4952
11Lagun Onak3813121342:4451
12Pasaia3813111436:4350
13SD Deusto3811161142:4049
14Urduliz FT381291739:5745
15Aurrera Ondarroa381082036:5538
16Santutxu FC388141642:6038
17Uritarra381082038:5238
18Amurrio Club388131739:4537
19Beti Gazte38682434:8026
20Tolosa38752643:8726