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SCD Durango vs Anaitasuna FT - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024
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Match Events

38' Event
Arietaleanizbeaskoa U.
44' Event
Arietaleanizbeaskoa U.
82'
Marcos H.

AI Match Summary

SCD Durango in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SCD Durango.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
SCD Durango
30%
Draws
42%
Anaitasuna FT
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Anaitasuna FT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • SCD Durango have won more games recently than Anaitasuna FT.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 10%
Anaitasuna FT Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SCD Durango Anaitasuna FT
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.42 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anaitasuna FT vs SCD Durango
1:2
Nov 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Anaitasuna FT
2:0
Feb 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anaitasuna FT vs SCD Durango
1:1
Oct 15, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Anaitasuna FT
4:0
Jan 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anaitasuna FT vs SCD Durango
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SCD Durango Compare

Top Goalscorer Arietaleanizbeaskoa U.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Anaitasuna FT Compare

Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Durango 30 / 100
Anaitasuna FT 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SCD Durango Anaitasuna FT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anaitasuna FT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SCD Durango found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Anaitasuna FT has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: SCD Durango stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SCD Durango VS Anaitasuna FT
1 Goals Scored 5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

SCD Durango

(Home)
03 Oct
Touring KE
2 : 2
SCD Durango
26 Sept
Beasain
1 : 2
SCD Durango
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0
UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
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Anaitasuna FT

(Away)
03 Oct
CD Tedeon
2 : 5
Anaitasuna FT
26 Sept
Anaitasuna FT
5 : 0
CD Tedeon
11 May
Basconia
3 : 2
Anaitasuna FT
05 May
Anaitasuna FT
2 : 1
Anorga
01 May
Alaves C
3 : 1
Anaitasuna FT
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 34 25 7 2 65:17 82
2 Basconia 34 18 10 6 54:32 64
3 Beasain 34 19 6 9 55:36 63
4 SD Deusto 34 17 10 7 45:29 61
5 Portugalete 34 17 9 8 54:32 60
6 Lagun Onak 34 16 9 9 43:33 57
7 SCD Durango 34 14 8 12 47:47 50
8 San Ignacio 34 12 11 11 49:44 47
9 Leioa 34 13 6 15 46:51 45
10 Urduliz FT 34 11 9 14 38:47 42
11 Derio 34 11 9 14 35:35 42
12 Alaves C 34 10 10 14 34:42 40
13 Touring KE 34 9 12 13 39:49 39
14 Padura 34 9 11 14 33:47 38
15 Pasaia 34 9 7 18 23:42 34
16 Anaitasuna FT 34 8 8 18 35:51 32
17 Aurrera Ondarroa 34 5 9 20 26:54 24
18 Anorga 34 3 9 22 31:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 (Play Offs)