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SCD Durango vs CD Vitoria

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Sanchez J.
78' Event
Perez E.
90' Event
Leon E.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 game between SCD Durango and CD Vitoria finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SCD Durango.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
SCD Durango
30%
Draws
39%
CD Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • CD Vitoria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans SCD Durango's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 68%
CD Vitoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SCD Durango CD Vitoria
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 23
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 1
Goals Scored 1.29 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs SCD Durango
3:0
Sep 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs CD Vitoria
2:1
Jan 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs CD Vitoria
0:3
Sep 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs SCD Durango
3:1
Mar 12, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs SCD Durango
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SCD Durango Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leon E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

CD Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Durango 50 / 100
CD Vitoria 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SCD Durango CD Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Durango Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

SCD Durango found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (34 games).

Solid form: SCD Durango remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

CD Vitoria let in goals in 33% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

SCD Durango VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SCD Durango

(Home)
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0
UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Pasaia
09 May
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Santurtzi
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CD Vitoria

(Away)
11 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 2
Pasaia
04 May
Padura
0 : 1
CD Vitoria
01 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 0
Touring KE
27 Apr
San Ignacio
2 : 0
CD Vitoria
20 Apr
CD Vitoria
2 : 0
Beasain
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 34 25 7 2 65:17 82
2 Basconia 34 18 10 6 54:32 64
3 Beasain 34 19 6 9 55:36 63
4 SD Deusto 34 17 10 7 45:29 61
5 Portugalete 34 17 9 8 54:32 60
6 Lagun Onak 34 16 9 9 43:33 57
7 SCD Durango 34 14 8 12 47:47 50
8 San Ignacio 34 12 11 11 49:44 47
9 Leioa 34 13 6 15 46:51 45
10 Urduliz FT 34 11 9 14 38:47 42
11 Derio 34 11 9 14 35:35 42
12 Alaves C 34 10 10 14 34:42 40
13 Touring KE 34 9 12 13 39:49 39
14 Padura 34 9 11 14 33:47 38
15 Pasaia 34 9 7 18 23:42 34
16 Anaitasuna FT 34 8 8 18 35:51 32
17 Aurrera Ondarroa 34 5 9 20 26:54 24
18 Anorga 34 3 9 22 31:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 (Play Offs)