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SCD Durango vs Eibar C - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Arietaleanizbeaskoa U.
70' Event
Aguileta B.
85' Event
Filippini J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between SCD Durango and Eibar C finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SCD Durango.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
SCD Durango
35%
Draws
30%
Eibar C
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SCD Durango come out ahead of Eibar C on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on SCD Durango taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 10%
Eibar C Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SCD Durango Eibar C
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Eibar C
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs SCD Durango
2:2
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs SCD Durango
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Eibar C
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SCD Durango Compare

Top Goalscorer Arietaleanizbeaskoa U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aguileta B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Eibar C Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Durango 40 / 100
Eibar C 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SCD Durango Eibar C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eibar C let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

SCD Durango's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

SCD Durango has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SCD Durango VS Eibar C
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SCD Durango

(Home)
03 Oct
Touring KE
2 : 2
SCD Durango
26 Sept
Beasain
1 : 2
SCD Durango
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0
UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
Page 1 of 6

Eibar C

(Away)
04 Oct
Eibar C
2 : 3
Real Sociedad C
26 Sept
Leioa
2 : 1
Eibar C
19 Sept
Eibar C
3 : 1
SD Erandio
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
05 Sept
Eibar C
1 : 1
Alaves C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)