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SCD Durango vs San Ignacio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Calle K.
Own Goal
21' Event
Arietaleanizbeaskoa U.
39'
Arana I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 game between SCD Durango and San Ignacio finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
SCD Durango
35%
Draws
30%
San Ignacio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Ignacio come out ahead of SCD Durango on wins alone.
  • Model gives SCD Durango a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 10%
San Ignacio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SCD Durango San Ignacio
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs San Ignacio
3:3
Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs San Ignacio
0:1
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs SCD Durango
0:1
May 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs SCD Durango
0:0
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs San Ignacio
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SCD Durango Compare

Top Goalscorer Arietaleanizbeaskoa U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Issakhi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

San Ignacio Compare

Top Goalscorer Osamudiamen F. O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paniagua I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Durango 34 / 100
San Ignacio 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SCD Durango San Ignacio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SCD Durango scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

San Ignacio has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: SCD Durango stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SCD Durango VS San Ignacio
2 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SCD Durango

(Home)
03 Oct
Touring KE
2 : 2
SCD Durango
26 Sept
Beasain
1 : 2
SCD Durango
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0
UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
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San Ignacio

(Away)
04 Oct
Real Union B
0 : 3
San Ignacio
27 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 2
Pasaia
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
San Ignacio
12 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 1
Derio
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 5 4 1 0 10:4 13
2 Derio 5 3 2 0 7:2 11
3 Pasaia 5 3 1 1 7:6 10
4 Leioa 5 2 3 0 12:6 9
5 Real Sociedad C 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
6 Touring KE 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
7 UD Aretxabaleta 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
8 Alaves C 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
9 Lagun Onak 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
10 SCD Durango 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
11 SD Erandio 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
12 San Ignacio 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
13 Eibar C 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
14 Real Union B 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
15 Sodupe 5 1 2 2 4:9 5
16 Beasain 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
17 Santurtzi 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
18 Amurrio Club 5 0 1 4 1:12 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)