Sport Picks

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SCD Durango vs SD Deusto

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Perez Escudero J.
73'
Perez Escudero J.
73'
Perez Escudero J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
SCD Durango
20%
Draws
23%
SD Deusto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SCD Durango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • SCD Durango have won more games recently than SD Deusto.
  • Model gives SCD Durango a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 68%
SD Deusto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SCD Durango SD Deusto
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.13 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs SD Deusto
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs SCD Durango
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs SCD Durango
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs SD Deusto
1:2
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs SD Deusto
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SCD Durango Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez Escudero J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

SD Deusto Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorabilla A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Durango 77 / 100
SD Deusto 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SCD Durango SD Deusto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Durango Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SCD Durango found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

SD Deusto has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

SCD Durango has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SCD Durango VS SD Deusto
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SCD Durango

(Home)
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Pasaia
09 May
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Santurtzi
03 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0
SCD Durango
25 Apr
SCD Durango
0 : 0
Pasaia
16 Apr
Lagun Onak
0 : 1
SCD Durango
Page 1 of 7

SD Deusto

(Away)
09 May
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Deusto
03 May
SD Deusto
1 : 3
Leioa
26 Apr
Eibar C
5 : 0
SD Deusto
18 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Anorga
11 Apr
SCD Durango
1 : 1
SD Deusto
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)