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SCD Durango vs Zalla UC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2016/2017 game between SCD Durango and Zalla UC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SCD Durango.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
SCD Durango
30%
Draws
35%
Zalla UC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SCD Durango come out ahead of Zalla UC on wins alone.
  • Model gives SCD Durango a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 18%
Zalla UC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SCD Durango Zalla UC
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 12 8
Draws 12 8
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.28 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zalla UC vs SCD Durango
1:1
Oct 1, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Zalla UC
3:0
Apr 23, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Zalla UC
1:1
Nov 28, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zalla UC vs SCD Durango
1:1
Feb 28, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Zalla UC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Durango 40 / 100
Zalla UC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SCD Durango Zalla UC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Durango Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SCD Durango's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Defensive concern: Zalla UC conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: SCD Durango stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SCD Durango VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SCD Durango

(Home)
03 Oct
Touring KE
2 : 2
SCD Durango
26 Sept
Beasain
1 : 2
SCD Durango
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0
UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
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Zalla UC

(Away)
04 Sept
Zalla UC
0 : 2
Barakaldo
13 May
Zalla UC
4 : 1
Pasaia
06 May
Portugalete
2 : 1
Zalla UC
29 Apr
Zalla UC
1 : 2
Beasain
22 Apr
Zalla UC
2 : 0
Bermeo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alaves B 38 22 8 8 57:20 74
2 CD Vitoria 38 22 6 10 60:39 72
3 SCD Durango 38 19 14 5 56:27 71
4 Beasain 38 20 10 8 51:29 70
5 Portugalete 38 18 15 5 56:39 69
6 Bermeo 38 14 14 10 53:41 56
7 SD Deusto 38 14 13 11 46:45 55
8 Santurtzi 38 13 14 11 44:38 53
9 Balmaseda 38 13 12 13 41:40 51
10 Basconia 38 12 12 14 50:55 48
11 Sodupe 38 13 8 17 55:67 47
12 Amurrio Club 38 11 13 14 39:39 46
13 Deportivo Getxo 38 13 6 19 39:45 45
14 Lagun Onak 38 12 9 17 30:47 45
15 Real Sociedad C 38 10 14 14 36:35 44
16 Santutxu FC 38 8 17 13 38:45 41
17 Tolosa 38 9 12 17 32:49 39
18 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 9 11 18 27:54 38
19 Zalla UC 38 7 12 19 39:63 33
20 Pasaia 38 7 8 23 35:67 29
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)