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SCD Durango vs Zarautz KE

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Fernandez D.
28' Event
Vizcarra Igartua P.
30' Event
Goicoechea K.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between SCD Durango and Zarautz KE finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SCD Durango.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
SCD Durango
20%
Draws
23%
Zarautz KE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SCD Durango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • SCD Durango carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives SCD Durango a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 68%
Zarautz KE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SCD Durango Zarautz KE
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.13 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Zarautz KE
4:2
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs SCD Durango
0:0
Apr 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Zarautz KE
3:0
Nov 19, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs SCD Durango
1:2
Mar 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs SCD Durango
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SCD Durango Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vizcarra Igartua P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Zarautz KE Compare

Top Goalscorer Alfageme U.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Durango 95 / 100
Zarautz KE 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SCD Durango Zarautz KE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Durango Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SCD Durango scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Zarautz KE has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

SCD Durango has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SCD Durango VS Zarautz KE
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SCD Durango

(Home)
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Pasaia
09 May
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Santurtzi
03 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0
SCD Durango
25 Apr
SCD Durango
0 : 0
Pasaia
16 Apr
Lagun Onak
0 : 1
SCD Durango
Page 1 of 7

Zarautz KE

(Away)
09 May
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Derio
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2
Zarautz KE
25 Apr
Touring KE
2 : 2
Zarautz KE
19 Apr
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Santurtzi
11 Apr
Alaves C
5 : 1
Zarautz KE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)