Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025

SCD Progresso

1 - 2

Fiorenzuola

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

Boscolo R.

55'

Ferraresi S.

62'

Sementa M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fiorenzuola in this Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fiorenzuola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

SCD Progresso

22%

Draws

18%

Fiorenzuola

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: SCD Progresso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

SCD Progresso have won more games recently than Fiorenzuola.
Model gives SCD Progresso a 60% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 25%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

SCD Progresso Clean Sheet 68%

Fiorenzuola Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SCD Progresso	Fiorenzuola
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	11	6
Draws	8	4
Losses	13	20
Goals Scored	1.13	0
Goals Conceded	1	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group D

SCD Progresso vs Fiorenzuola

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 1 - 0

1:2

Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group D

Fiorenzuola vs SCD Progresso

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

May 30, 2021 Serie D - Group D

Fiorenzuola vs SCD Progresso

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

4:0

Jan 17, 2021 Serie D - Group D

SCD Progresso vs Fiorenzuola

Possession: 45% - 42% Cards: 4 - 3

1:4

Apr 19, 2020 Serie D - Group D

Fiorenzuola vs SCD Progresso

Possession: 43% - 47% Cards: 2 - 4

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SCD Progresso Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferraresi S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Fiorenzuola Compare

Top Goalscorer Boscolo R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sementa M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Progresso 68 / 100

Fiorenzuola 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SCD Progresso Fiorenzuola

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorenzuola let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

SCD Progresso went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

SCD Progresso found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

SCD Progresso VS -

1.13 Goals Scored 0

1 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Forli FC	34	27	3	4	75:24	84
2	Ravenna	34	23	5	6	65:27	74
3	Lentigione	34	18	11	5	48:27	65
4	Tau	34	18	9	7	54:27	63
5	Pistoiese	34	18	7	9	45:23	61
6	Imolese	34	14	11	9	52:44	53
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	34	13	8	13	48:40	47
8	Piacenza	34	10	12	12	38:40	42
9	Prato	34	11	9	14	34:38	42
10	Tuttocuoio	34	10	12	12	32:43	42
11	SCD Progresso	34	10	11	13	24:32	41
12	San Marino Calcio	34	10	8	16	38:51	38
13	Sasso Marconi	34	9	10	15	39:51	37
14	Corticella	34	10	6	18	37:65	36
15	Sammaurese	34	7	10	17	27:37	31
16	Fiorenzuola	34	7	5	22	21:46	26
17	Zenith Prato	34	10	8	16	36:51	23
18	United Riccione	34	5	7	22	22:69	22