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SCD Progresso vs Scandicci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Arrighini A.
64' Event
Bortolotti G.
90' Event
Rapido T.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between SCD Progresso and Scandicci finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SCD Progresso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
SCD Progresso
15%
Draws
65%
Scandicci
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Scandicci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Scandicci come out ahead of SCD Progresso on wins alone.
  • SCD Progresso are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
SCD Progresso Clean Sheet 68%
Scandicci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SCD Progresso Scandicci
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 13
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.07 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group E
SCD Progresso vs Scandicci
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SCD Progresso Compare

Top Goalscorer Bortolotti G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rapido T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Scandicci Compare

Top Goalscorer Arrighini A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Progresso 59 / 100
Scandicci 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SCD Progresso Scandicci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Progresso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scandicci let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

SCD Progresso's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: SCD Progresso remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SCD Progresso VS Scandicci
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SCD Progresso

(Home)
04 Oct
Rondinella
2 : 1
SCD Progresso
27 Sept
Montevarchi
2 : 0
SCD Progresso
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3
Seravezza Pozzi
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0
SCD Progresso
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1
Scandicci
Page 1 of 6

Scandicci

(Away)
04 Oct
Sasso Marconi
0 : 2
Scandicci
27 Sept
Scandicci
0 : 0
Ternana
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3
Scandicci
16 Sept
Scandicci
3 : 0
Rondinella
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1
Scandicci
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Follonica Gavorrano 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Prato 6 4 2 0 9:4 14
3 Lucchese 6 4 1 1 16:11 13
4 Tau 6 4 0 2 10:12 12
5 Scandicci 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
6 Flaminia 6 3 2 1 9:9 11
7 Seravezza Pozzi 6 3 1 2 14:5 10
8 Siena 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
9 Ternana 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
10 Terranuova Traiana 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Montevarchi 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Mezzolara 6 1 4 1 4:6 7
14 Rondinella 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
15 Sasso Marconi 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
16 SCD Progresso 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
17 Grassina 6 0 2 4 6:13 2
18 Ghiviborgo 6 0 1 5 3:10 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)