Sport Picks
SCD Progresso vs Ternana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
SCD Progresso host Ternana in the Serie D - Group E. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ternana have shipped 1.32 goals a game lately, while SCD Progresso have conceded 1.41 and scored 1.06. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.81, favoring Ternana. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Ternana at 1.54 per game, SCD Progresso at 1.06.
- Win probability leans Ternana's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SCD Progresso | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ternana let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Attacking prowess: SCD Progresso scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
SCD Progresso
(Home)Ternana
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Follonica Gavorrano | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Seravezza Pozzi | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:5 | 14 |
| 4 | Lucchese | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18:15 | 14 |
| 5 | Siena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 13 |
| 6 | Tau | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Ternana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Terranuova Traiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Flaminia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Montevarchi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 13 | Mezzolara | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 14 | Rondinella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 16 | Grassina | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 17 | SCD Progresso | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4:17 | 3 |
| 18 | Ghiviborgo | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:16 | 2 |