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SCD Progresso vs Zenith Prato

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Longo S.
21' Event
Falteri M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 game between SCD Progresso and Zenith Prato finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zenith Prato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
SCD Progresso
35%
Draws
30%
Zenith Prato
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Recent numbers put SCD Progresso and Zenith Prato close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Model gives SCD Progresso a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
SCD Progresso Clean Sheet 20%
Zenith Prato Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SCD Progresso Zenith Prato
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Zenith Prato
0:2
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Zenith Prato vs SCD Progresso
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SCD Progresso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Zenith Prato Compare

Top Goalscorer Longo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Falteri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Progresso 42 / 100
Zenith Prato 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SCD Progresso Zenith Prato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SCD Progresso's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Zenith Prato conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: SCD Progresso remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SCD Progresso VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SCD Progresso

(Home)
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0
SCD Progresso
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1
Scandicci
06 Sept
Tau
2 : 1
SCD Progresso
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1
Sasso Marconi
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
SCD Progresso
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Zenith Prato

(Away)
11 May
Zenith Prato
2 : 2
Piacenza
27 Apr
Imolese
5 : 1
Zenith Prato
17 Apr
Zenith Prato
1 : 1
Sasso Marconi
12 Apr
Pistoiese
0 : 1
Zenith Prato
06 Apr
Zenith Prato
0 : 0
Prato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forli FC 34 27 3 4 75:24 84
2 Ravenna 34 23 5 6 65:27 74
3 Lentigione 34 18 11 5 48:27 65
4 Tau 34 18 9 7 54:27 63
5 Pistoiese 34 18 7 9 45:23 61
6 Imolese 34 14 11 9 52:44 53
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 13 8 13 48:40 47
8 Piacenza 34 10 12 12 38:40 42
9 Prato 34 11 9 14 34:38 42
10 Tuttocuoio 34 10 12 12 32:43 42
11 SCD Progresso 34 10 11 13 24:32 41
12 San Marino Calcio 34 10 8 16 38:51 38
13 Sasso Marconi 34 9 10 15 39:51 37
14 Corticella 34 10 6 18 37:65 36
15 Sammaurese 34 7 10 17 27:37 31
16 Fiorenzuola 34 7 5 22 21:46 26
17 Zenith Prato 34 10 8 16 36:51 23
18 United Riccione 34 5 7 22 22:69 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Out)