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Schaan vs Vaduz

Liechtenstein Liechtenstein

Liechtenstein Cup 2020/2021
Tue, Nov 3, 2020
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Liechtenstein Cup 2020/2021. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Schaan have averaged 2.69 scored and 2.69 conceded recently, against Vaduz's 3.89 scored and 1.24 conceded. Past meetings favor Vaduz slightly — 0-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 3, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 2.38, favoring Vaduz. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Schaan
15%
Draws
85%
Vaduz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vaduz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vaduz have won more games recently than Schaan.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Vaduz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vaduz, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Vaduz have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Schaan Clean Sheet 10%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Schaan Vaduz
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 15 26
Draws 0 2
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 2.69 3.89
Goals Conceded 2.69 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2020 Liechtenstein Cup
Schaan vs Vaduz
0:0
May 4, 2016 Liechtenstein Cup
Vaduz vs Schaan
11:0
Oct 30, 2013 Liechtenstein Cup
Schaan vs Vaduz
0:6
Nov 7, 2012 Liechtenstein Cup
Schaan vs Vaduz
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Schaan 30 / 100
Vaduz 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Schaan Vaduz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaduz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Schaan scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Vaduz conceded in 70% of 37 recent games.

Vaduz's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Schaan VS Vaduz
2 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Schaan

(Home)
08 Sept
Ruggell B
3 : 2
Schaan
17 Sept
Schaan
1 : 4
Ruggell
04 Sept
Ruggell B
2 : 1
Schaan
22 Aug
Schaan
1 : 2
Eschen/Mauren
11 Oct
Balzers B
3 : 2
Schaan
Page 1 of 6

Vaduz

(Away)
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1
Lausanne
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
30 Aug
Vaduz
5 : 2
Grasshoppers
23 Aug
Young Boys
4 : 2
Vaduz
13 Aug
Vaduz
2 : 2
Inter Turku
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Ruggell B -
TBD -
TBD -
Triesen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzers -
Schaan 5
Eschen/Mauren C 4
TBD -
Triesen B -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaduz -
Triesenberg B -
TBD -
Balzers B 4
Eschen/Mauren B 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruggell -
Vaduz C -
TBD -
Schaan B 0
Triesenberg 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eschen/Mauren -
1/8-finals
Ruggell B 2
Triesen 3
TBD -
Balzers -
Schaan 6
Triesen B 1
TBD -
Vaduz -
Triesenberg B 0
Balzers B 6
TBD -
Ruggell -
Vaduz C 1
Triesenberg 11
TBD -
Eschen/Mauren -
Quarter-finals
Triesen -
Balzers -
Schaan -
Vaduz -
Balzers B -
Ruggell -
Triesenberg -
Eschen/Mauren -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -