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Schaffhausen vs Bavois

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Pejic N.
45' Event
Berger N.
60' Event
Hanke M.

AI Match Summary

Schaffhausen in this Promotion League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Schaffhausen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Schaffhausen
20%
Draws
38%
Bavois
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Schaffhausen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Bavois haven't matched Schaffhausen's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Schaffhausen a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Schaffhausen Clean Sheet 12%
Bavois Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Schaffhausen Bavois
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 2 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.38 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Promotion League
Schaffhausen vs Bavois
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 Promotion League
Bavois vs Schaffhausen
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Schaffhausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Pejic N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berger N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Bavois Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Schaffhausen 40 / 100
Bavois 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Schaffhausen Bavois

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Schaffhausen scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Bavois conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Schaffhausen stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Schaffhausen VS Bavois
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kriens342545100:4379
2Bruhl SG34226687:4672
3Biel34197878:4664
4Basel II34178965:4859
5Bavois341741364:5355
6Young Boys II341591066:5254
7Schaffhausen341651351:4653
8Bulle341561370:6451
9Cham341481262:6150
10Grand-Saconnex3411101371:6943
11Zurich II341181559:6241
12Breitenrain341181547:5141
13Luzern II3410101480:8340
14FC Kreuzlingen348131343:6637
15Lugano II348121445:7536
16Paradiso348111551:6535
17Lausanne II34942160:8431
18Vevey34152828:1132