Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Schalding vs Geretsried

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Geretsried in this Oberliga Bayern Süd matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Geretsried.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Schalding
20%
Draws
48%
Geretsried
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Geretsried

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Geretsried have won more games recently than Schalding.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Geretsried taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Süd form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Schalding have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Schalding Clean Sheet 10%
Geretsried Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Schalding Geretsried
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Schalding vs Geretsried
1:5
Mar 14, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Geretsried vs Schalding
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Schalding vs Geretsried
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Schalding 10 / 100
Geretsried 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Schalding Geretsried

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Geretsried Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Geretsried conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Schalding's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Geretsried's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Schalding VS Geretsried
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Schalding

(Home)
11 Sept
Hankofen-Hailing
1 : 1
Schalding
05 Sept
Schalding
2 : 2
Pfaffenhofen
28 Aug
Schalding
0 : 4
FC Schwaig
22 Aug
TSV Schwabmunchen
8 : 1
Schalding
18 Aug
Schalding
1 : 5
Geretsried
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Geretsried

(Away)
12 Sept
Deisenhofen
4 : 0
Geretsried
05 Sept
Geretsried
0 : 1
Landshut
28 Aug
Hankofen-Hailing
1 : 0
Geretsried
22 Aug
Geretsried
2 : 3
Pfaffenhofen
18 Aug
Schalding
1 : 5
Geretsried
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pipinsried 10 7 1 2 29:13 22
2 Landshut 10 6 3 1 21:12 21
3 Hankofen-Hailing 10 5 4 1 19:11 19
4 SV Erlbach 10 5 3 2 13:5 18
5 TSV 1880 Wasserburg 10 5 1 4 22:19 16
6 Pfaffenhofen 10 4 4 2 18:19 16
7 FC Schwaig 10 3 6 1 21:13 15
8 Ismaning 10 4 2 4 20:14 14
9 Munich 1860 II 10 3 4 3 22:21 13
10 Gundelfingen 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Heimstetten 10 3 3 4 17:22 12
12 Deisenhofen 10 3 3 4 14:19 12
13 TSV 1860 Rosenheim 10 2 4 4 15:16 10
14 TSV Schwabmunchen 10 2 3 5 20:21 9
15 Kirchanschoring 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
16 Kottern-St. Mang 10 2 2 6 8:17 8
17 Geretsried 10 2 2 6 11:22 8
18 Schalding 10 1 4 5 13:30 7
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)