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Schalke vs Atalanta

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Scamacca G.
39' Event
Samardzic L.
46'
Sub
Ahanor H. In: Bernasconi L.
Out: Ahanor H.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Schalke and Atalanta finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atalanta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Schalke
15%
Draws
48%
Atalanta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atalanta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Schalke carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Schalke Clean Sheet 16%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Schalke Atalanta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.76 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Schalke vs Atalanta
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Schalke Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Atalanta Compare

Top Goalscorer Scamacca G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samardzic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Schalke 31 / 100
Atalanta 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Schalke Atalanta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Schalke scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Atalanta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Schalke stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Schalke VS Atalanta
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Schalke

(Home)
11 Sept
Union Berlin
1 : 3
Schalke
05 Sept
Schalke
0 : 0
Bayern Munich
30 Aug
Augsburg
3 : 0
Schalke
24 Aug
Hallescher
2 : 5
Schalke
16 Aug
Schalke
0 : 3
Real Madrid
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Atalanta

(Away)
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2
Cagliari
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1
Atalanta
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0
Bologna
27 Aug
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 : 1
Atalanta
23 Aug
Atalanta
2 : 1
Sassuolo
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