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Schalke vs VfB Stuttgart - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Veltins Arena, Gelsenkirchen
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Schalke host VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. VfB Stuttgart have shipped 1.27 goals a game lately, while Schalke have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.55. Past meetings favor Schalke slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 25, 2023, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.76 xG vs 1.63) point toward VfB Stuttgart. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Schalke
20%
Draws
70%
VfB Stuttgart
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VfB Stuttgart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and VfB Stuttgart come out ahead of Schalke on wins alone.
  • VfB Stuttgart are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Schalke Clean Sheet 14%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Schalke VfB Stuttgart
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 14 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.55 2.58
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 Bundesliga
Schalke vs VfB Stuttgart
2:1
Sep 3, 2022 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Schalke
1:1
Feb 27, 2021 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Schalke
5:1
Oct 30, 2020 Bundesliga
Schalke vs VfB Stuttgart
1:1
May 18, 2019 Bundesliga
Schalke vs VfB Stuttgart
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Schalke 15 / 100
VfB Stuttgart 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Schalke VfB Stuttgart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfB Stuttgart Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Schalke scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

VfB Stuttgart's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Schalke remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Schalke VS VfB Stuttgart
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Schalke

(Home)
31 Oct
Schalke
0 : 2
RB Leipzig
28 Oct
Dresden
2 : 0
Schalke
24 Oct
1. FC Koln
0 : 0
Schalke
17 Oct
Schalke
0 : 1
Mainz
11 Oct
Freiburg
2 : 1
Schalke
Page 1 of 6

VfB Stuttgart

(Away)
31 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 4
VfB Stuttgart
28 Oct
Paderborn
0 : 1
VfB Stuttgart
23 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 3
B. Monchengladbach
20 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1
Atl. Madrid
17 Oct
Hamburger
1 : 0
VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 8 5 3 0 27:8 18
2 Dortmund 8 5 3 0 14:6 18
3 Freiburg 8 5 1 2 18:10 16
4 RB Leipzig 8 5 0 3 22:11 15
5 Werder Bremen 8 4 3 1 17:14 15
6 Bayer Leverkusen 8 4 1 3 18:16 13
7 Elversberg 8 4 1 3 16:16 13
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
9 Mainz 8 3 1 4 17:17 10
10 Augsburg 8 2 3 3 18:15 9
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 3 0 5 14:15 9
12 Hoffenheim 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
13 1. FC Koln 8 2 3 3 9:12 9
14 Paderborn 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
15 Hamburger 8 3 0 5 7:19 9
16 Union Berlin 8 1 4 3 7:19 7
17 Schalke 8 1 3 4 4:9 6
18 B. Monchengladbach 8 1 1 6 11:22 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)