Sport Picks
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu vs Progresul Spartac
Romania
Liga 3 - Seria 5 
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 - Seria 5 game between SCM Dunarea Giurgiu and Progresul Spartac finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SCM Dunarea Giurgiu.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
30%
18%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- SCM Dunarea Giurgiu haven't matched Progresul Spartac's recent run of results.
- SCM Dunarea Giurgiu are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Liga 3 - Seria 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Progresul Spartac here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu Clean Sheet 10%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SCM Dunarea Giurgiu | Progresul Spartac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu vs Progresul Spartac
1:0
May 9, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
4:2
Nov 8, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
4:1
Aug 30, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu vs Progresul Spartac
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Spartac vs SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 74 / 100
Progresul Spartac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu Progresul Spartac
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SCM Dunarea Giurgiu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Progresul Spartac has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu VS Progresul Spartac
1.63 Goals Scored 3.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
(Home) 26 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 1 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
23 Sept
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
1 : 0 Progresul Spartac
18 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
12 Sept
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
2 : 2 Oxigen Bucuresti
04 Sept
LPS HD Clinceni
1 : 3 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
1 : 0 Progresul Spartac
12 Sept
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
2 : 2 Oxigen Bucuresti
29 Aug
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
2 : 0 Cetatea Turnu Magurele
01 May
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
1 : 1 Curtisoara
17 Apr
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
6 : 0 Nanov
Page 1 of 3
Progresul Spartac
(Away) 26 Sept
Progresul Spartac
2 : 1 FCSB 2
23 Sept
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
1 : 0 Progresul Spartac
19 Sept
Progresul Spartac
0 : 1 Omega Sport
12 Sept
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2 Progresul Mogosoaia
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0 Progresul Spartac
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
1 : 0 Progresul Spartac
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0 Progresul Spartac
19 Aug
Blaj
1 : 3 Progresul Spartac
05 Aug
Bolintin Vale
1 : 3 Progresul Spartac
15 May
Adunatii-Copaceni
0 : 8 Progresul Spartac
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omega Sport | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 14 |
| 2 | LPS HD Clinceni | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:9 | 13 |
| 3 | SCM Dunarea Giurgiu | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 4 | CSM Alexandria | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 11 |
| 5 | Adunatii-Copaceni | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Din. Bucuresti 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Cetatea Turnu Magurele | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 |
| 8 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 9 | Progresul Spartac | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 10 | Voluntari 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 11 | Oxigen Bucuresti | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 12 | FCSB 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:20 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 (Relegation Group)
