Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Scotland U21 vs Kazakhstan U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Doig J.
Assist: Barron C.
24' Event
Cameron L.
Assist: Bowie K.
30'
Kalmyrza M.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 2025 game between Scotland U21 and Kazakhstan U21 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Scotland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Scotland U21
30%
Draws
8%
Kazakhstan U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Scotland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Scotland U21 come out ahead of Kazakhstan U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Scotland U21 a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Scotland U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Kazakhstan U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scotland U21 Kazakhstan U21
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.69 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 Euro U21
Kazakhstan U21 vs Scotland U21
3:2
Mar 21, 2024 Euro U21
Scotland U21 vs Kazakhstan U21
4:1
Mar 29, 2022 Euro U21
Kazakhstan U21 vs Scotland U21
2:2
Nov 12, 2021 Euro U21
Scotland U21 vs Kazakhstan U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scotland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Doig J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cameron L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Kazakhstan U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scotland U21 85 / 100
Kazakhstan U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scotland U21 Kazakhstan U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scotland U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kazakhstan U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Scotland U21 scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Scotland U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Scotland U21 VS Kazakhstan U21
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Scotland U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Scotland U21
0 : 0
Czech Republic U21
18 Nov
Scotland U21
1 : 0
Bulgaria U21
15 Nov
Gibraltar U21
0 : 2
Scotland U21
14 Oct
Azerbaijan U21
3 : 3
Scotland U21
Page 1 of 7

Kazakhstan U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Belarus U21
2 : 1
Kazakhstan U21
05 Jun
Belarus U21
2 : 0
Kazakhstan U21
31 Mar
Kazakhstan U21
0 : 1
Ireland U21
27 Mar
Kazakhstan U21
1 : 3
Slovakia U21
17 Nov
Kazakhstan U21
1 : 1
Moldova U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 6 4 0 27:4 22
2 Norway U21 10 6 1 3 28:11 19
3 Ireland U21 10 5 4 1 24:12 19
4 Turkey U21 10 4 1 5 21:15 13
5 Latvia U21 10 3 2 5 10:18 11
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 1:51 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 1 0 28:5 28
2 Belgium U21 10 6 1 3 13:6 19
3 Scotland U21 10 5 1 4 19:11 16
4 Hungary U21 10 5 1 4 12:8 16
5 Kazakhstan U21 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 4:35 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U21 10 10 0 0 32:3 30
2 Georgia U21 10 6 1 3 14:10 19
3 Sweden U21 10 5 2 3 25:10 17
4 North Macedonia U21 10 4 0 6 8:15 12
5 Moldova U21 10 2 1 7 7:20 7
6 Gibraltar U21 10 1 0 9 3:31 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 8 2 0 35:10 26
2 Poland U21 10 7 1 2 24:10 22
3 Bulgaria U21 10 4 3 3 17:12 15
4 Kosovo U21 10 3 3 4 10:17 12
5 Estonia U21 10 2 1 7 7:31 7
6 Israel U21 10 1 0 9 5:18 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania U21 10 7 1 2 23:10 22
2 Finland U21 10 6 2 2 21:8 20
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 3 2 21:12 18
4 Albania U21 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
5 Montenegro U21 10 2 1 7 8:19 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 2 8 2:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 8 1 1 41:6 25
2 Ukraine U21 10 8 0 2 20:7 24
3 Serbia U21 10 5 1 4 13:18 16
4 Northern Ireland U21 10 3 2 5 10:10 11
5 Luxembourg U21 10 2 2 6 6:23 8
6 Azerbaijan U21 10 1 0 9 4:30 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 9 0 1 33:6 27
2 Croatia U21 10 7 1 2 20:14 22
3 Greece U21 10 5 2 3 16:10 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 3 1 6 11:24 10
5 Belarus U21 10 1 3 6 6:20 6
6 Andorra U21 10 0 3 7 4:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia U21 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
2 France U21 8 5 1 2 22:6 16
3 Austria U21 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
4 Cyprus U21 8 1 2 5 7:23 5
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 0 7 5:17 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U21 8 5 2 1 18:8 17
2 Czech Republic U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
3 Wales U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
4 Iceland U21 8 3 0 5 9:14 9
5 Lithuania U21 8 1 0 7 7:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)