Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Scotland U21 vs Portugal U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Fir Park, Motherwell
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mora R.
Assist: Quenda G.
29'
Anderson M.
38'
Fernandes M.

AI Match Summary

Portugal U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portugal U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Scotland U21
15%
Draws
46%
Portugal U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portugal U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Portugal U21 lately — more wins on the board than Scotland U21.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Portugal U21 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Portugal U21 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Scotland U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Portugal U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scotland U21 Portugal U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 20
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.76 3
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Euro U21
Portugal U21 vs Scotland U21
3:0
Sep 9, 2025 Euro U21
Scotland U21 vs Portugal U21
0:2
Nov 14, 2012 Friendly International
Portugal U21 vs Scotland U21
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scotland U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Portugal U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mora R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roger
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scotland U21 10 / 100
Portugal U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scotland U21 Portugal U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Scotland U21's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scotland U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Portugal U21 conceded in 41% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Scotland U21 VS Portugal U21
2.25 Goals Scored 3.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Scotland U21

(Home)
30 Sept
Scotland U21
5 : 2
Azerbaijan U21
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Scotland U21
0 : 0
Czech Republic U21
18 Nov
Scotland U21
1 : 0
Bulgaria U21
15 Nov
Gibraltar U21
0 : 2
Scotland U21
Page 1 of 6

Portugal U21

(Away)
30 Sept
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Gibraltar U21
25 Sept
Bulgaria U21
2 : 1
Portugal U21
03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Azerbaijan U21
0 : 4
Portugal U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Finland U21 9 7 1 1 30:3 22
2 Spain U21 8 7 0 1 27:4 21
3 Romania U21 9 5 1 3 11:6 16
4 Kosovo U21 9 4 2 3 17:7 14
5 Cyprus U21 9 1 0 8 6:29 3
6 San Marino U21 8 0 0 8 0:42 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 9 7 1 1 33:2 22
2 Czech Republic U21 9 5 3 1 17:4 18
3 Scotland U21 9 4 2 3 23:12 14
4 Bulgaria U21 9 4 2 3 9:8 14
5 Azerbaijan U21 9 1 4 4 8:24 7
6 Gibraltar U21 9 0 0 9 1:41 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 8 6 2 0 24:5 20
2 Switzerland U21 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
3 Iceland U21 9 4 3 2 20:11 15
4 Faroe Islands U21 9 4 0 5 8:15 12
5 Luxembourg U21 8 2 1 5 8:19 7
6 Estonia U21 9 0 2 7 9:25 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 8 7 1 0 22:4 22
2 Ireland U21 9 5 2 2 13:13 17
3 Slovakia U21 8 5 1 2 15:12 16
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 9 1 1 7 9:18 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 9 9 0 0 26:2 27
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 9 3 1 5 10:22 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 9 8 0 1 30:5 24
2 Greece U21 8 7 0 1 24:4 21
3 Northern Ireland U21 8 4 1 3 12:11 13
4 Georgia U21 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
5 Latvia U21 8 1 2 5 4:16 5
6 Malta U21 9 0 0 9 2:36 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Israel U21 7 2 4 1 9:9 10
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 7 1 4 2 3:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
5 Slovenia U21 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Turkey U21 7 3 3 1 9:8 12
3 Ukraine U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
4 Hungary U21 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 7 5 1 1 13:2 16
2 Denmark U21 6 4 1 1 14:5 13
3 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
4 Wales U21 7 2 0 5 6:21 6
5 Belarus U21 8 1 1 6 7:12 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)