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Stadium Background

Scotland vs Greece

World World

World Championship 2026 Hampden Park, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Kourbelis D.
44'
Zafeiris C.
58'
Sub
Hickey A. In: Ralston A.
Out: Hickey A.

AI Match Summary

Scotland in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Scotland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Scotland
30%
Draws
18%
Greece
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Scotland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Greece lately — more wins on the board than Scotland.
  • Win probability leans Scotland's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Scotland Clean Sheet 68%
Greece Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scotland Greece
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 World Championship
Greece vs Scotland
3:2
Oct 9, 2025 World Championship
Scotland vs Greece
3:1
Mar 23, 2025 UEFA Nations League
Scotland vs Greece
0:3
Mar 20, 2025 UEFA Nations League
Greece vs Scotland
0:1
Aug 15, 1995 Euro
Scotland vs Greece
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scotland Compare

Top Goalscorer Christie R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferguson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Greece Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsimikas K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scotland 68 / 100
Greece 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scotland Greece

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scotland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scotland scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scotland went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Greece's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Scotland VS Greece
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Scotland

(Home)
24 Jun
Scotland
0 : 3
Brazil
19 Jun
Scotland
0 : 1
Morocco
14 Jun
Haiti
0 : 1
Scotland
06 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Scotland
30 May
Scotland
4 : 1
Curacao
Page 1 of 6

Greece

(Away)
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1
Italy
04 Jun
Sweden
2 : 2
Greece
31 Mar
Hungary
0 : 0
Greece
27 Mar
Greece
0 : 1
Paraguay
18 Nov
Belarus
0 : 0
Greece
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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