Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Scotland vs Greece

World World

World Championship 2026 Hampden Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Scotland play Greece in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Scotland averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Greece averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Scotland won 3, Greece won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 15, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Scotland and 1.25 for Greece. This points to a Greece double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Scotland
15%
Draws
45%
Greece
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Greece

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Scotland picked up more points recently compared to Greece.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Scotland Clean Sheet 19%
Greece Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scotland Greece
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 World Championship
Greece vs Scotland
3:2
Oct 9, 2025 World Championship
Scotland vs Greece
3:1
Mar 23, 2025 UEFA Nations League
Scotland vs Greece
0:3
Mar 20, 2025 UEFA Nations League
Greece vs Scotland
0:1
Aug 15, 1995 Euro
Scotland vs Greece
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scotland Compare

Top Goalscorer Christie R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferguson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Greece Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsimikas K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scotland 40 / 100
Greece 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scotland Greece

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Greece or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Scotland attacking → ← attacking Greece

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scotland scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Greece let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scotland went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Greece lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 49
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany650116:315
2Slovakia64026:812
3Northern Ireland63037:69
4Luxembourg60061:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Switzerland642014:214
2Kosovo63216:511
3Slovenia60423:84
4Sweden60244:122
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Scotland641113:713
2Denmark632116:711
3Greece621310:127
4Belarus60244:172
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France651016:416
2Ukraine631210:1110
3Iceland621313:117
4Azerbaijan60153:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain651021:216
2Turkey641117:1213
3Georgia61057:153
4Bulgaria61053:193
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portugal641120:713
2Ireland63129:710
3Hungary622211:108
4Armenia61053:193
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Netherlands862027:420
2Poland852114:717
3Finland83148:1410
4Malta81254:195
5Lithuania80356:153
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austria861122:419
2Bosnia & Herzegovina852117:717
3Romania841319:1013
4Cyprus822411:118
5San Marino80082:390
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Norway880037:524
2Italy860221:1218
3Israel840419:2012
4Estonia81168:214
5Moldova80175:321
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Belgium853029:718
2Wales851221:1116
3North Macedonia834113:1013
4Kazakhstan82249:138
5Liechtenstein80080:310
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England880022:024
2Albania84227:514
3Serbia84139:1013
4Latvia81255:155
5Andorra80173:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Croatia871026:422
2Czech Republic851218:816
3Faroe Islands840411:912
4Montenegro83058:179
5Gibraltar80083:280