Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Scotland vs Greece

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Hampden Park, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Konstantelias G.
Assist: Vagiannidis G.
42' Event
Karetsas K.
Assist: Konstantelias G.
46' Event
Tzolis C.
Assist: Konstantelias G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Greece advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Scotland
30%
Draws
18%
Greece
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Scotland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Scotland haven't matched Greece's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Scotland's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Greece arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Scotland, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Scotland Clean Sheet 68%
Greece Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scotland Greece
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.37 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 World Championship
Greece vs Scotland
3:2
Oct 9, 2025 World Championship
Scotland vs Greece
3:1
Mar 23, 2025 UEFA Nations League
Scotland vs Greece
0:3
Mar 20, 2025 UEFA Nations League
Greece vs Scotland
0:1
Aug 15, 1995 Euro
Scotland vs Greece
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scotland Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Greece Compare

Top Goalscorer Konstantelias G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karetsas K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scotland 77 / 100
Greece 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scotland Greece

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scotland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scotland found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Scotland remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Greece's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Scotland VS Greece
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Scotland

(Home)
24 Jun
Scotland
0 : 3
Brazil
19 Jun
Scotland
0 : 1
Morocco
14 Jun
Haiti
0 : 1
Scotland
06 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Scotland
30 May
Scotland
4 : 1
Curacao
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Greece

(Away)
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1
Italy
04 Jun
Sweden
2 : 2
Greece
31 Mar
Hungary
0 : 0
Greece
27 Mar
Greece
0 : 1
Paraguay
18 Nov
Belarus
0 : 0
Greece
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Turkey 6
Hungary 1
Ukraine 3
Belgium 4
Austria 1
Serbia 3
Greece 3
Scotland 1