Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Scotland vs Japan

World World

Friendly International Hampden Park, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Ito H. In: Suzuki J.
Out: Ito H.
46'
Sub
Sano K. In: Mitoma K.
Out: Sano K.
46'
Sub
Watanabe T. In: Taniguchi S.
Out: Watanabe T.

AI Match Summary

Japan in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Japan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Scotland
30%
Draws
37%
Japan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Japan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Japan have won more games recently than Scotland.
  • Japan are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Scotland Clean Sheet 16%
Japan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scotland Japan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 19
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.39 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Friendly International
Scotland vs Japan
0:1
Oct 10, 2009 Friendly International
Japan vs Scotland
2:0
May 13, 2006 Kirin Cup (Japan)
Japan vs Scotland
0:0
May 21, 1995 Friendly International
Japan vs Scotland
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scotland Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Japan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ito J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scotland 15 / 100
Japan 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scotland Japan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scotland found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Scotland stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Japan has conceded goals in 39% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Scotland VS Japan
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Scotland

(Home)
26 Sept
Slovenia
0 : 0
Scotland
24 Jun
Scotland
0 : 3
Brazil
19 Jun
Scotland
0 : 1
Morocco
14 Jun
Haiti
0 : 1
Scotland
06 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Scotland
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Japan

(Away)
24 Sept
Japan
3 : 1
Uruguay
29 Jun
Brazil
2 : 1
Japan
25 Jun
Japan
1 : 1
Sweden
21 Jun
Tunisia
0 : 4
Japan
14 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 2
Japan
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