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Scotland vs Slovenia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Hampden Park, Glasgow
Scotland Logo

Scotland

1 - 2
FT
Slovenia Logo

Slovenia

Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Janza E.
31' Event
Christie R.
Assist: McBurnie O.
44'
McGinn J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Slovenia in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Slovenia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Scotland
20%
Draws
51%
Slovenia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Slovenia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Scotland lately — more wins on the board than Slovenia.
  • Model gives Slovenia a 51% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Scotland Clean Sheet 22%
Slovenia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scotland Slovenia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 13
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.31 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Scotland vs Slovenia
1:2
Sep 26, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Slovenia vs Scotland
0:0
Oct 8, 2017 World Championship
Slovenia vs Scotland
2:2
Mar 26, 2017 World Championship
Scotland vs Slovenia
1:0
Feb 29, 2012 Friendly International
Slovenia vs Scotland
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scotland Compare

Top Goalscorer Christie R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Slovenia Compare

Top Goalscorer Matko A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sturm D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scotland 21 / 100
Slovenia 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scotland Slovenia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slovenia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Scotland scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Slovenia has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Scotland remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Scotland VS Slovenia
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Scotland

(Home)
06 Oct
Scotland
1 : 2
Slovenia
03 Oct
North Macedonia
0 : 2
Scotland
29 Sept
Scotland
0 : 3
Switzerland
26 Sept
Slovenia
0 : 0
Scotland
24 Jun
Scotland
0 : 3
Brazil
Page 1 of 7

Slovenia

(Away)
06 Oct
Scotland
1 : 2
Slovenia
03 Oct
Switzerland
2 : 1
Slovenia
29 Sept
Slovenia
2 : 0
North Macedonia
26 Sept
Slovenia
0 : 0
Scotland
07 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Slovenia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Slovenia 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Scotland 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 North Macedonia 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 4 2 2 0 4:0 8
2 Hungary 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Ukraine 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
4 Georgia 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
2 Kosovo 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
3 Ireland 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
4 Israel 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
3 Poland 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
4 Romania 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)