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Scotland W vs Netherlands W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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UEFA Nations League Women Hampden Park, Glasgow
Scotland W Logo

Scotland W

1 - 2
FT
Netherlands W Logo

Netherlands W

Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Lawton E.
Assist: McLauchlan R.
52'
Adams E.
54' Event
Beerensteyn L.
Assist: Roord J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Netherlands W in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Netherlands W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Scotland W
30%
Draws
33%
Netherlands W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Scotland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Netherlands W have won more games recently than Scotland W.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Scotland W taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Netherlands W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Scotland W Clean Sheet 16%
Netherlands W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scotland W Netherlands W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2.04 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Netherlands W vs Scotland W
1:1
Feb 25, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Scotland W vs Netherlands W
1:2
Oct 31, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
Scotland W vs Netherlands W
0:1
Oct 27, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
Netherlands W vs Scotland W
4:0
Sep 2, 2022 Friendly International Women
Netherlands W vs Scotland W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scotland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawton E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Netherlands W Compare

Top Goalscorer Beerensteyn L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grant C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scotland W 84 / 100
Netherlands W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scotland W Netherlands W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scotland W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Scotland W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scotland W scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Netherlands W conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Scotland W VS Netherlands W
3.5 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Scotland W

(Home)
09 Jun
Israel W
1 : 5
Scotland W
05 Jun
Scotland W
6 : 0
Israel W
18 Apr
Belgium W
0 : 0
Scotland W
14 Apr
Scotland W
1 : 1
Belgium W
07 Mar
Scotland W
7 : 0
Luxembourg W
Page 1 of 6

Netherlands W

(Away)
09 Jun
Netherlands W
3 : 1
Poland W
05 Jun
Ireland W
3 : 2
Netherlands W
18 Apr
France W
1 : 1
Netherlands W
14 Apr
Netherlands W
2 : 1
France W
07 Mar
Netherlands W
2 : 1
Ireland W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 26:4 16
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
3 Austria W 6 2 0 4 5:16 6
4 Scotland W 6 0 1 5 3:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 6 0 0 14:2 18
2 Norway W 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
3 Iceland W 6 0 4 2 6:9 4
4 Switzerland W 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:8 15
2 England W 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
3 Belgium W 6 2 0 4 9:16 6
4 Portugal W 6 1 1 4 5:21 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden W 6 3 3 0 13:6 12
2 Italy W 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
3 Denmark W 6 3 0 3 8:13 9
4 Wales W 6 0 2 4 4:10 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)