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Scunthorpe vs Horsham FC

England England

FA Trophy 2025/2026 Attis Arena
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AI Match Summary

Scunthorpe play Horsham FC in the FA Trophy 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Scunthorpe averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Horsham FC averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Scunthorpe won 0, Horsham FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 31, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Scunthorpe and 0.88 for Horsham FC. This points to a Scunthorpe double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Scunthorpe
23%
Draws
35%
Horsham FC
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Scunthorpe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Scunthorpe picked up more points recently compared to Horsham FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 25%
Horsham FC Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scunthorpe Horsham FC
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.81 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 FA Trophy
Scunthorpe vs Horsham FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scunthorpe Compare

Top Goalscorer Howe D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Horsham FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Meekums R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elliott J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scunthorpe 43 / 100
Horsham FC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scunthorpe Horsham FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Scunthorpe or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Scunthorpe attacking → ← attacking Horsham FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scunthorpe scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Horsham FC let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scunthorpe went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Horsham FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 33
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38